Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 7.467682 8.553908 9.759409 11.199316 12.876128 14.771582 17.082725
2025-02-23 5.925191 7.298578 8.948824 11.088067 13.802718 17.152237 21.628286
2025-03-02 4.993504 6.481590 8.375713 10.983343 14.510892 19.160772 25.826446
2025-03-09 4.315594 5.841076 7.874785 10.814666 15.005708 20.840980 29.713041
2025-03-16 3.773580 5.290752 7.394142 10.564079 15.291523 22.193827 33.244041
2025-03-23 3.543960 5.135527 7.424739 11.013488 16.600751 25.139633 39.512164
2025-03-30 3.271164 4.879626 7.269375 11.149177 17.426284 27.422106 45.030219
2025-04-06 2.993556 4.582640 7.013190 11.085745 17.908540 29.189110 49.910648
2025-04-13 2.742589 4.298956 6.743686 10.960874 18.258057 30.752974 54.626778
2025-04-20 2.618051 4.202153 6.757887 11.297966 19.416007 33.822850 62.488036
2025-04-27 2.489177 4.084238 6.722566 11.540081 20.424596 36.735195 70.467521
2025-05-04 2.405880 4.033645 6.792771 11.969576 21.814110 40.509059 80.704962
2025-05-11 2.205880 3.767499 6.470879 11.663690 21.805557 41.643156 85.779939
2025-05-18 2.057382 3.579218 6.269646 11.560573 22.174914 43.566447 92.845222
2025-05-25 1.923276 3.404973 6.077324 11.452188 22.516106 45.465901 100.150294
2025-06-01 1.793252 3.227184 5.862318 11.275705 22.693475 47.034894 106.937818
2025-06-08 1.664808 3.041945 5.617245 11.013378 22.657595 48.130739 112.765873
2025-06-15 1.634867 3.041172 5.725680 11.483883 24.251294 53.055988 128.881568
2025-06-22 1.569259 2.965690 5.680397 11.625959 25.132507 56.460282 141.714171
2025-06-29 1.486575 2.849982 5.544703 11.559540 25.529914 58.768068 152.040561
2025-07-06 1.403986 2.728265 5.386875 11.428795 25.761314 60.699557 161.676784
2025-07-13 1.373592 2.710583 5.442986 11.781760 27.187484 65.809626 181.320787
2025-07-20 1.335447 2.673785 5.455358 12.035306 28.400308 70.541538 200.794906